Last week we backed Georgia Southern and this week we are going to fade the Eagles. A bad team laying this many points is asking for it so I’ll gladly back the Zips here and hope their offensive struggles against Michigan State and Tennessee will look like more of an anomaly as they play worse competition going forward.

Akron is one of the worst five teams in college football, but Ohio isn’t much better. Ohio laying double digits sounds like a disaster waiting to happen. Model projection: Western Michigan 26.8, Eastern Michigan 26.0 Worst line to bet: Eastern Michigan +3 (-110) I’m not very high on the Western Michigan offense and relying on them to score points to cover this number seems like a bit of a stretch. This game should be on the lower end of the spectrum in regards to scoring, though, not astronomically low and getting more than a field goal feels like a gift. In a battle of directional Michigan schools, my model thinks this should be closer to a pick ’em. Model projection: Bowling Green 28.8, Buffalo 24.2Įastern Michigan +5 (-110) at Western Michigan Either way, my model has Bowling Green favored in this one so this is a no-brainer. I’m willing to bet against that this week as I’d guess this trends towards Bowling Green. Simply put, my model thinks the market is overvaluing Buffalo a good bit. If you have more questions, ask in the comments or reach out to me on Twitter.īack to the well here as we bet against Buffalo last week and lost in the final minute. Worst line to bet means do not bet a worse spread/total than what is listed. All odds are from BetMGM and are locked when the pick was made.

Week 6 best betsĪll bets are to win one unit on favorites and risk one unit on underdogs. So without wasting more of anyone’s time, let’s see where the value lies. This week’s card isn’t as big as I originally thought it was going to be, but there is still plenty of value on the board. As for our season results, they’ve been good so far.

Best bets college football week 6